Holding my breath over Florida

Thought y’all might be interested in the latest Zogby numbers out of Florida. I’ve been holding my breath over this one for a week:

Released: January 28, 2008
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: McCain Gets Endorsement Boost, Leads Again in Florida
Giuliani passes Huckabee; is stuck in a distant third place

UTICA, New York -– In what’s become a two-man game for the Republicans, Arizona Sen. John McCain now holds a slim lead over rival Mitt Romney while all others lag well behind in the Florida primary race, the latest Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby telephone tracking poll shows.
    Boosted by a strong endorsement from Republican Gov. Charlie Crist, McCain has 33% support, compared to former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who wins 30% backing. The two leaders have been locked in a tight contest ahead of Tuesday’s election. This three-day tracking poll, which surveyed 818 likely Republican voters, carries a margin for error of +/- 3.4% and was conducted Jan. 25-27.
    Eight percent of voters remained undecided in the tight race.
    In the battle for third place, former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani is once again ahead of former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, 14% to 11%. Huckabee had leapt ahead of Giuliani in yesterday’s three-day tracking poll, but he gave back three points in the last 24 hours and again trails Giuliani.
    Voters who identify themselves as conservative, a group that represents more than half the sample, have also reversed themselves. After giving Romney the edge, McCain now has the support of 34% to Romney’s 33%. In yesterday’s tracking poll, Romney led among those voters with 34% of their support to McCain’s 28%. Moderate voters consistently prefer McCain, giving him 44% of their support in the most recent poll, compared to Romney’s 15%. Among “very conservative” voters, Romney fares far better, winning 48% support to McCain’s 13%. Huckabee is actually ahead of McCain among the “very conservative” voters, winning 20% support.

13 thoughts on “Holding my breath over Florida

  1. JJ

    Again, I wonder.. do you have money on McCain? Or, are just trying to interject sarcasm?
    Do you think the Republican base will support John McAmnesty? And why is this so important to you.
    What I see from you is the following:
    Obama, with all of his inexperience and socialists policies bring us together.
    McCain, with his saddling up to socialists policies also brings us together.
    Is that about it?

  2. Brad Warthen

    Apparently, you have a reading comprehension problem, anonymous person.
    The point, the entire point, is getting a candidate who appeals to people like me, who don’t fit in either party’s “base,” thank God.
    That’s the only kind of candidate who can win convincingly enough to lead a united country.

  3. Lee Muller

    The most solid block of supporters for McCain are the illegal aliens, who have been promised amnesty by McCain and his co-conspirators like Lindsay Graham and Ted Kennedy.

  4. Doug Ross

    McCain – Obama would be a repeat of Clinton-Dole. An old war horse who brings nothing to the table besides a long career working the backrooms of the Senate versus the young upstart who comes in at the end of a Bush presidency marked by a staggering drop in popularity.
    I’d prefer a Romney-Obama matchup at this point. We need a leader with energy, not the same retreads who feel they “earned” the right to be President.
    Needless to say, if it ends up Obama versus McCain, I’m fairly certain that McCain will do whatever he can to avoid being in debates with Obama. The first televised Nixon-Kennedy debates propelled JFK into the White House. We’d see the same thing happen this time around as well — in HD.
    At least it looks like Rudy has shot himself in the foot with his bizarre campaign strategy. Back to the lucrative speech making circuit for him next week.

  5. Lee Muller

    The vague platitudes and rhetorical devices used by Obama on his more unsophisticated supporters will not work on those who want details, numbers and explanations of ideology and agenda. He only has 25 delegates of the more than 2000 he needs for the nomination. The entire Democrat core is only 34%. Can Obama pick up another 17% of non-partisan voters? How long can he wave his hands and dodge the details?

  6. Doug Ross

    >> The vague platitudes and rhetorical
    >>devices used by Obama on his more
    >>unsophisticated supporters will not work
    >>on those who want details, numbers and
    >>explanations of ideology and agenda
    That worked for GW Bush… why can’t it work for Obama?
    “Mission Accomplished”
    “Axis of Evil”
    “With us or against us”
    “Compassionate Conservatism”
    “No Child Left Behind”
    Politics depends on which guy can fool the majority of the ignorant and apathetic the best.
    At least Obama can speak in full sentences without having to read everything off a notecard.

  7. Lee Muller

    Please provide a link to some coherent Obama discussion of his ideology, and how he would translate that plus any actual knowledge of economics, business, medical care, and law, into specific tax rates, spending plans, health care changes, etc.

  8. JJ

    “… but for so long as they are able to keep their audience or circulation numbers up by sustaining public interest in the campaign, they are going to be rooting for the underdogs wherever they can find them. And never have they been less ashamed than they are today to display their favoritism openly.” – James Bowman, author of Media Madness: The Corruption of our Political Culture

  9. Timberdoodle

    Hang in there, Lee. The DND (Do Nothing Democrats) are barking like junk yard dogs for their scraps from the government table.
    It doesn’t matter how this race turns out. Even if Sambo gets in, the old truism, “a democracy will last only so long as the voters don’t realize they can vote themselves as large a part of the public treasury as they wish”, will prevail.
    Just hope that SC can get out of this great “Union” before it slips into the abyss.

  10. Richard L. Wolfe

    I think there should be a none of the above catagory in every election just to let the powers that be know how many people are not pleased with the two parties. If nothing else it might increase voter turn out so that people could log a protest vote.

  11. Lee Muller

    I agree that every election should have a choice for “Non of the Above”, and if it gets more than any candidate, there should be a new election, and no one who ran in that election is eligible for the next one.


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