Why can’t Californians just get up in the morning like the rest of us and get done that which needs doing?
I’ve had it with waiting for those people. There’s no trend yet I can have confidence in. I had expected Obama and Romney to win there, but now Clinton and McCain are leading — a mixed result, to my way of thinking, either way.
But blast it, that’s just with 19 percent of the vote in. That’s it. Let Jack Bauer stay up all night; I won’t.
No, wait — looks like Hillary won there. No, no, no, I can’t do this; I’m going to bed…
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All right! The NYT declares McCain the winner! Yes!
OK, I’m going…
Before you get too far ahead of yourself on writing your McCain victory editorial for November, let’s look at some facts:
1) In California, Hilary AND Obama each got more votes yesterday than McCain and Romney COMBINED. Put those electoral votes in the Democrat bucket right now.
2) Same for New York. Hilary got three times as many votes as McCain. Obama got double. Another big electoral electoral vote count you can put on the Democrat side.
3) McCain only got 42% of the vote in his HOME STATE of Arizona. Hilary came within 13,000 votes. If his own people don’t overwhelmingly support McCain, what do they know that we (or Brad) know?
4) Just as in the past, it’s going to come down to Florida, Ohio, and Missouri. Hilary beat McCain by 200,000 votes in Florida and 200,000 in Missouri.
The signs are all pointing to a Democrat victory in November. McCain taking a big lead will actually work against him in the long run as he will lose much of the free press he gets if there is no competition. Meanwhile, Obama and Clinton will be on the front pages for the next several weeks.
I think the Republican party will be going through an extended period of buyer’s remorse as McCain tailors his message for the general election.
If Hilary wins, she should consider Obama as her VP. That would put several southern states in play and force McCain to pick a southern running mate (Sanford?). If Obama wins the nomination, he’d be wise to go with Senator Jim Webb from Virginia as a VP. He’s got the military background to buffer McCain (first in class for Marine officers school, Navy Cross, the Silver Star Medal, two Bronze Star Medals, and two Purple Hearts). He was born in Missouri, so that helps out electorally both there and in Virginia (another red state).
I’d put the odds at 3:1 in favor of a Democrat being in the White House in January.
McCain abandoned his home state of AZ just as Edwards abandoned NC, by not showing up to vote in the Senate.
Additionally, the AZ is overrun with illegal alien invaders from Mexico, and the sheriffs are screaming for federal assistance. The jails and prisons in AZ are full of Mexican criminals.
There is one fact that is becoming painfully clear. There will not be a conservative at the top of the ticket in this year election. So how do we turn lemons into lemonade? I call it the trade 4 for 8 strategy. Whomever is elected McCain, Obama or Clinton will be a disaster. Instead of staying home the conservatives should go to the polls in record numbers and vote for the down ballot candidates.
Try to take back the House and keep the Dems from getting 60 Senators. Whatever we get keep the pressure on those representatives and Senators to hold to conservative core values. Talk radio, bloggers and editorial letters should remind the nation everyday that we didn’t vote for the mistake that now occupies the Oval Office.
In 2010 we will make more gains in the House and Senate and in 2012 we will regain the White House.
Doug, I agree with much of what you say.
It’s probably far too early to handicap the November election but what the heck this is too much fun to pass on. The dems start out with an advantage as indicated by the voting trends so far.
Issues will matter more in this election than personalities or percieved ethical lapses. The tanking economy can only help the Dems since that’s their bread and butter issue. If it turns around quickly the GOP may be ok on that issue.
Immigration of course is a non-issue with dems and could cost McCain a few right-wing votes (but in the end I doubt very many).
Health care on the other hand is a huge issue with the dems and many independents. I don’t see how the GOP’s indifference can help them come November. They will of course try the same scare tactics that helped kill the Clinton plan in 1993. I don’t see voters buying that a second time.
And then there is Iraq. This is the big wild card in the campaign. Both sides have a solid base that is unlikely to budge regardless of the situation there. Hillary is not too popular with the left with regard to Iraq but in the end I don’t see them bolting to the hawkish McCain. Perhaps a few will stay home but the contrast with any Dem vs McCain is really pretty dramatic.
McCain could help his cause by selecting someone far to the right such as Tom Toncredo or perhaps even Mitt Romney. Huckabee or Guiliani would do little for McCain given their lack of support (for different reasons) from the far right.
I’ll agree with Doug on the 3:1 odds right now but the pragmatist in me suggests it is far too early to get too excited. Given the dismal polling numbers McCain had just 2 months ago we certainly can’t count him out. If Hillary is the nominee she will face unrelenting attacks from the right. In spite of what they say the extreme right of the GOP will eventually rally around their nominee, hold their nose and vote for McCain. Also, if Hillary wins, much of the youth vote will likely be lost because Obama has been such an inspiration for young voters, I sense they are likely to stay home.
Obama is an empty suit, just full of feel-good rhetoric for the uneducated voter.
Hillary is unwavering in her ideology that she should be part of a ruling socialist elite, that will finish destroying Americanism, as Democrat Party radicals have been doing since Woodrow Wilson.
So Lee, who are you going to vote for?
Bud,
While you’re waiting for Lee to answer, I’ll tell you my voting preference:
1) Romney – although unlikely.. mainly because I think he would be best to handle the pending economic meltdown that is going to happen in the next two years
2) Obama – because I think he WOULD be a different type of President
3) None of the above. I will probably write my own name in.
Holding out hope now for a Mayor Bloomberg run. Although if he won NY, it could put McCain into the White House… I’d like to see total chaos occur in November. The system won’t be fixed until it is completely broken.
Not a smart move, Doug. We don’t need a broken system, nor do we need chaos–not now, not at this time in our history. We need wise, strong, pragmatic leadership in foreign policy. And to have wise leadership on foreign policy, we’re going to need a system at home that works, and is supported by our citizens, even if it isn’t their perfect wish. These are not the times to be undermining our system, bashing the presidency, or dismissing any other leadership position.
We’re going to need citizenry that is asking what it can do for our country, rather than sitting back taking potshots at it, and hoping its political system fails. And Rush ought to be ashamed of himself.
I will write in someone rather than vote for MeCain, and I will vote for a patriotic Congress in order to neutralize MeCain or any of the the Democrat traitors.
Mr. Brasher,
The supporters of McCain, Hillary and Obama are not asking what they can do for their country – they are shirkers, demanding more handouts.
They think they are somehow entitled to material wealth without earning it. Obama and Hillary have already promised the largest deficits and largest tax increases in history to buy votes.
McCain has pandered to the geezers who refuse to face the reality that Social Security was a fraud, and is bankrupt.
He also has sold out to the businesses that want cheap, illegal, tax-dodging labor from Mexico.
Take away the giveaway planks of these progressives, and what is left in their platforms? Gutting the military and baseless environmental moralism.
Lee, are the Democrats traitors because they traded arms for hostages? No, that would be Ronald Reagan who did that.
Are the Democrats traitors because they failed to show up for their REQUIRED physical in order to be qualified to fly for the ANG? No, that would be George W. Bush.
Are the Democrats traitors because they covered up the break-in of the Democratic Election Campaign. No, that would be Richard Nixon.
Are the Democrats traitors because they engaged in unwanted sexual advances to unsuspecting young, male pages? No that would be Republican Mark Foley.
I could go on and on but it’s very clear who the true traitors are in this country. And the vast majority have a big fat R behind thier title.
Bud, Ronald Reagan won the Cold War. He got the hostages back. He humiliated Khadafi.
Reagan was anything but a traitor. He was the best and probably the most patriotic president of your lifetime, if you’re that old.
Clinton sold missile technology to Red China, did jack-doodle about terrorism and, with the election help of Ross Perot, NAFTA-ed America. I wouldn’t call Clinton a traitor, but members of our military wouldn’t salute him when he was in office, and that must mean something.
They did salute Eisenhower, though, and now they salute Bush. They saluted the previous Bush, too.
Here’s hoping they never get the chance to salute Hillary.
Let’s get the facts straight about hostages. The Carter hostages ALL came home alive. Several of the Reagan hostages were killed in spite of his treasonous sale of arms in exchange for hostages.
“Arms for hostages” is residue of a smear put out against George Bush during the 1988 campaign, by Democrat nutcases who claimed that he flew to Tehran in an SR-71 Blackbird to cut the deal.
As the Boston Globe reported in their series on G.W. Bush in the Texas ANG, the claims of his critics were all fabrications. The record showed that he had too many flight hours and was ordered to cut back. Having more than fulfilled all his drill hours for the year by summer, Bush requested release a few months early in order to attend Harvard Business School in the fall. He was not required to take a physical since he was leaving the service.
Democrat treason is too long to list.
Current treason consists of:
* Encouraging Mexico to send unlimited illegal invaders across our borders.
* Encouraging Islamic terrorists with attempts to pull our military off their backs.
* Proposing budgets which have deficits 2X and 3X the size of the currentn deficits.
* Working to subordinate America to a world government.
Hillary is all about destroying America.
She has never wavered from her ideology, which is that a socialist elite needs to rule the world. National borders must be replaced with regional states, under a rotating politburo who take turns in various offices.
Read her papers and speeches at Wellesley and Yale Law School, and the book, Rules for Radicals, by Saul Alinsky, her mentor.